Via MR, Intrade has the chances of "a cap and trade system for emissions trading to be established before midnight ET on 31 Dec 2010" at 50%. Note that this is not a contract on today's Waxman-Markey vote specifically, and the volume is also very thin.
Update: It passes!! 219-212 - not a very strong mandate, which doesn't bode well for the Senate. Intrade ticks up to 55.
Showing posts with label Intrade. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Intrade. Show all posts
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